Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting
$150 per hourMercor
Toronto, ON
- Remote job
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .
Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$200/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance .
Qualifications
Must-Have
- A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU .
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check:
- For any help or support, reach out to: Show email
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
Vacancy posted 3 days ago
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