Political Risk Expert - Fully Remote | Upto $250/hr
$150 per hourMercor
Toronto, ON
- Remote job
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .
Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$250/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance .
Qualifications
Must-Have
- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in target states.
- State and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
- Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage.
- National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.
Not a fit
- Profiles with experience mainly in international politics, geopolitics, or country risk.
- Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover.
- Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
- Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check:
- For any help or support, reach out to: Show email
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
Vacancy posted 1 day ago
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