Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting
$150 per hourMercor
Toronto, ON
- Remote job
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .
Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$200/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance .
Qualifications
Must-Have
- A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU .
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check:
- For any help or support, reach out to: Show email
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
Vacancy posted 6 days ago
Similar jobs that could be interesting for youBased on the Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting in Toronto, ON vacancy
$100 per hour
...Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey . Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Type: Contract... ...Qualifications Must-Have ~ Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states...SuggestedRemote jobContract workSummer workLocal area$150 per hour
...Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey . Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Type: Contract... ...Qualifications Must-Have ~ Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states...SuggestedRemote jobContract workSummer workLocal area$137.7k - $178.2k per year
...team at Hydro One! We are seeking a Manager, Economics and Load Forecasting to join Hydro One Networks' forecasting team within Regulatory Affairs. Reporting to the Director, Pricing and Load Forecast, this role contributes to load forecasts development, economic...SuggestedTemporary workLocal areaHydro One Networks Inc
Toronto, ON8 days ago- ...Revenue (T&R) services in North America (NA). The type of similar projects you can expect to work on are: An investment‑grade forecast for a major toll highway concession , supporting investors and lenders. A connected‑vehicle / managed‑lane corridor assignment ,...SuggestedLong term contractFull timeLocal areaImmediate startRemote workFlexible hoursShift work
- Shape the Future of AI. Transform the World's Leading Businesses. Tiger Analytics is one of the fastest-growing AI services firms, partnering with some of the world's largest and most influential organizations to redefine how business gets done. We help Fortune 500 companies...SuggestedLong term contractFull timeTemporary workLocal area
$70 - $110 per hour
...Compensation: $70–$110/hour Location: Remote Role Responsibilities Review and QA AI-agent rollouts in Financial Forecaster . Judge agent answers against the actual model and documents. Identify failure modes where agents succeed too easily or fail...Remote jobContract workSummer work- ...priorities, and perspectives. • The historical, legal, social, and political context that shapes Indigenous policy in Ontario and Canada.... ...will be contacted. —————————————————————————— Pilotez des politiques stratégiques qui changent les choses Possédez-vous une...Full timeTemporary work
$120k - $160k per year
...POSITION DESCRIPTION The Department of Political Science in the Faculty of Arts & Science at the University of Toronto invites applications for a full-time tenure stream position in Indigenous Politics. The appointment will be at the rank of Assistant Professor...Permanent employmentFull timeWork at office$157.4k - $179.6k per year
...their impact through testing and monitoring, being accountable for both Profit & Loss and customer outcomes. \n You’ll lead a team of analysts to solve complex problems and make data-driven decisions by gathering and analyzing data, testing hypotheses and developing insights...Long term contractWork at officeWork from homeShift workCapital One - CA
Toronto, ON27 days ago$130k - $150k per year
...Philosophy at the University of Toronto Scarborough (UTSC) invites applications for a full-time tenure stream position in Social and Political Philosophy. The appointment will be at the rank of Assistant Professor, with an anticipated start date of July 1, 2027....Permanent employmentFull timeLive In$96.56k - $128.74k per year
...change in emerging markets? We are looking for an Sr. Financial Analyst ! Join FinDev Canada, Canada’s development finance... ...stakeholders across the business, the team supports budgeting, forecasting, financial reporting, performance measurement, and continuous improvement...Permanent employmentFull timeInternshipWork at office3 days per week- ...City, Montreal, Seattle, Singapore, and Tokyo. About the Role The FP&A Analyst maintains and develops defined components of Behavox’s financial and operating models, ensuring that forecasts, budgets, actuals, and underlying accounting assumptions are accurately reflected...Long term contractWork at officeImmediate startWorldwide
$70k - $80k per year
...Data Analyst Role : Full-time, on-site 4 days/week (1 day remote) Location : Etobicoke, Ontario (Airport area) Comp : $70,000... ...on IT and data team, we're scaling while keeping a practical, no-politics, get-it-done culture. How We Work Data should drive decisions...Full timeRemote work- ...Mandat: Relevant du gestionnaire de crédit corporatif, l’analyste de crédit et du recouvremment est responsable de la gestion d’une... ...ou dépasser les objectifs de l’entreprise dans le respect des politiques établies. L’analyste de crédit est responsable de: • S’assurer...Full timeWork from home
$95k - $115k per year
...reduce carbon and replace cars. Could you be the full-time FP&A Analyst in Toronto, ON, we’re looking for? Your future role Take... ..., and validating financial data to produce actual budgets and forecasts Drawing conclusions on budget/actual variances and...Long term contractFull timeWork at officeWorldwideFlexible hours3 days per week$80k - $100k per year
...learn more about the opportunity: As Digital Analyst, you will own the tracking, data and reporting... ...and unit economics. Lead sales and customer forecasting efforts, owning the accuracy and documentation of forecasts. Partner with the Media team to ensure accurate...Long term contractInternshipWork at office2 days per week$96.56k - $128.74k per year
...positifs sur les marchés émergents ? Nous recherchons un(e) Analyste financier(ère) principal(e)! Rejoignez FinDev Canada, l’institution... ...des normes comptables, des exigences réglementaires et des politiques internes. En étroite collaboration avec les différentes parties...Permanent employmentFull timeContract workWork at officeWorldwideDay shift$80k - $95k per year
...is seeking a collaborative and highly motivated Senior Treasury Analyst to join its Corporate Treasury team. Reporting to the Treasury Manager... .... Cash Flow Analysis and Treasury Insight Perform forecast-to-actual cash flow variance analysis, identify key drivers and...Remplacement$111.13k - $138.98k per year
...Opportunity Our Farecard Team is seeking a Senior Technical Analyst to join their team! What You Will Do As Senior Technical Analysis... ...intelligence tools for performance, trend analysis and forecasting. Plan, supervise and direct work to ensure the technical team...RemplacementFull timeTemporary workFor contractorsRemote workFlexible hoursShift work- ...represent our values. We are currently looking for a Financial Analyst to join our Research Awards and Finance Services Team. In this... ...of performance results. Participate in the budgeting and forecasting processes including the annual operating plan, long range planning...Permanent employmentFull timeFlexible hours
- ...Commercial Finance team and will report to a Senior Finance Data Analyst. A role you will love Reporting to the Senior Finance Data... ...or other projects to maximise returns Review month end and forecast commentary provided by FP&A and identify items or variances requiring...Long term contractFull timeWork at officeRemote workFlexible hours3 days per week
- ...Reporting to the Sr. Manager, Buying & Planning, the Planning Analyst, Merchandise will be a financial partner to the Merchandising Team... ...Budget Plans and manage in-season adjustments Own Open-to-Buy forecast of sales and inventory needs within budgeted goals Provide...Seasonal workWork at officeWork from homeWeekend workAfternoon shift
$30 per hour
Our client, a Top 5 bank in Canada is looking to hire a Risk Analyst - "GSOC Analyst in Corporate Strategy team for an initial 6-month... ...that could impact operations Conducts incisive analysis and forecasting on geopolitical and security issues, monitors country threat...Contract workWork at office2 days per week1 day per week$80k - $90k per year
...Reporting to the Director, Reinsurance Accounting, the Financial Analyst plays a key role in financial reporting, business analysis, and... ...estimates, and other client-related balances. Assist with forecasting and reporting actual financial results. Perform ad hoc financial...Work at officeImmediate startRemote workFlexible hoursShift work- ...Transport family, here in Toronto! We are looking for an ITV Process Analyst to join our team in Toronto. As a member of the ITV Discipline... ...Associated performance metrics/control Operational labor forecast ~ Contribute to the Polarion migration Ease ITV Work Package...Full timeWork at officeWorldwide
- ...Senior Financial Analyst Reporting to the Controller, the Senior Financial Analyst plays a pivotal... ...vacancy. What will you do? Budgeting & Forecasting Process ownership preparation of annual budgets and rolling forecasts. Collaborate with department heads to...Long term contractWork at officeRemote workWork from home
$101.24k per year
...Financial Management policy compliance. As the Intermediate Financial Analyst, you will perform a broad range of duties including financial... ...of budgets that include strategic planning, analysis and forecasting. • Overseeing, analyzing and forecasting revenue-generating...Long term contractFull timeWork at office$68k - $80k per year
.... Edwards, in particular, is an asset. Ability to work independently and in a fast-paced team environment. Strong budgeting, forecasting and financial analysis skills required. Must demonstrate attention to detail as well as excellent organizational skills. Rewards...Long term contractFull timeFixed term contractFor subcontractorInternshipFlexible hours$88.29k per year
...Analyzing actual expenditures in comparison to budget and preparing reports for financial planning and funding terms compliance Forecasting and planning financial activities incorporating project budgets with multiple sources of revenue and/or recoveries Performing complex...Full timeusd85k - usd105k per year
We are looking for an Senior Analyst, Financial Planning to join our finance team. This is an exciting opportunity for an accountant... ...commercial decision-making, profitability analysis, budgeting and forecasting activities, and the continued development of reporting...Full timeInternshipLocal area
Do you want to receive more vacancies?
Subscribe and receive similar vacancies to Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting. Be the first to apply!
