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Political Risk Expert - Fully Remote | Up to $200/hr

$100 per hour

Mercor

Toronto, ON
  • Remote job

About the job

Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .

Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Type: Contract

Compensation: $100–$200/hour

Location: Remote

Role Responsibilities

  • Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
  • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
  • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
  • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
  • Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance .

Qualifications

Must-Have

  • Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
  • On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and the local political environment.
  • A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
  • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
  • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.

Preferred

  • Backgrounds in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in the target states.
  • Experience with state and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
  • Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage.
  • National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.

Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)

  • Upload resume
  • AI interview based on your resume
  • Submit form

Resources & Support

  • For details about the interview process and platform information, please check:
  • For any help or support, reach out to:

PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.

Vacancy posted 1 day ago
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